Nonconsensus

Nonconsensus

Welcome Back 4% Inflation

US inflation is set to rise back above 4%, but this isn’t the post-COVID boom all over again. With wage growth slowing and no fiscal support coming, households are increasingly being squeezed.

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Bob Elliott
Jun 10, 2026
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If today’s US inflation report is in line with consensus expectations it’ll mark price growth over 4% on a year over year basis for the first time since the spring of 2023. This move up shouldn’t be…

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