Nonconsensus

Nonconsensus

Denial and Levitation

Markets are pricing in even stronger future growth expectations even as the hard data softens and negative growth policy flows through the economy. It's a dynamic that's typical in late cycles.

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Bob Elliott
Jul 25, 2025
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US markets continue to price in a sanguine outlook ahead, even euphoric. For those looking at the broad set of macro data and policy, that pricing feels quite inconsistent with the macroeconomic real…

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