Nonconsensus

Nonconsensus

Counting The Cushion

Sanctions relief and SPR draws have offset 40% of lost production, but it won’t be long until those cushions are exhausted. If Hormuz isn’t open by America’s birthday, expect far higher oil prices.

Bob Elliott's avatar
Bob Elliott
Mar 26, 2026
∙ Paid

As the Iran war wraps up its fourth week the new reality of lost oil production becomes increasingly clear. While the full 20mln bbl/d previously moving through Hormuz is not totally lost, shut ins …

User's avatar

Continue reading this post for free, courtesy of Bob Elliott.

Or purchase a paid subscription.
© 2026 Bob Elliott · Privacy ∙ Terms ∙ Collection notice
Start your SubstackGet the app
Substack is the home for great culture